UPGRADE

RISK AWARENESS WEEK 2020 So many amazing workshops, consider upgrading for a full access pass

Probability for Pragmatists

A workshop by Graeme Keith
Owner & CEO, Stochastic ApS

16 October 2020, 11:00 AM

FREE REGISTRATION

By submitting your email you agree to the terms
Book my place

About this workshop

The success of quantitative risk management rests on our ability to assess probabilities, but what is a probability anyway? How do you know if your assessments are any good and what does it even mean to say there's a 50% chance of rain tomorrow?

A pragmatic approach to these questions quickly takes us in to a discussion of what can go wrong with probabilistic assessments and we will discuss systematic biases and how to root them out.

I will also present a methodology that not only reveals bias, but also makes it clear how obvious that bias is in the data by showing an uncertainty range that reflects both consistency of bias and the number of data used to reveal it. Are you insanely optimistic or just plain unlucky?

Have you got yours yet?

Want to watch more workshops? Consider our all access pass. It costs less than 5% of a typical conference fee for triple the value.

Yes please

Graeme Keith

Independent consultant in mathematical modelling for strategy and risk management. Expert in quantification and modelling of uncertainty, portfolio optimization and decision analysis

Proudly supported by

Your logo could go here!

If you'd like to get your brand in front of attendees contact us.