Probability theory

Probability theory is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability.

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Meet our Speakers

We've gathered some of the top experts in the field to discuss this topic. With years of experience between them, they're well-equipped to offer invaluable insights and perspectives.

John Hollmann

John Hollmann

Owner, Validation Estimating LLC

Douglas Hubbard

Douglas Hubbard

Founder/President, Hubbard Decision Research

Sam Savage

Sam Savage

Executive Director, ProbabilityManagement.org

Max Henrion

Max Henrion

CEO, Lumina Decision Systems

Mark Armour

Mark Armour

Director Global Business Continuity, Brink's Inc.

Ariadna Berger

Ariadna Berger

Risk Consultant, Cultivar Conocimiento Agropecuario

Trygve Botn

Trygve Botn

Founder, ThinQ Decisions

Robert Brown III

Robert Brown III

Sr Strategic Analyst supporting the Global Automotive group, Novelis

Bridget Cash

Bridget Cash

Chair of Collaborative Pandemic Modeling, ProbabilityManagement.org

Shaun Doheney

Shaun Doheney

Assistant Director of Training and Certification, ProbabilityManagement.org

Prof. Hernan Huwyler

Prof. Hernan Huwyler

Compliance Program Director, IE Law School

Shayne Kavanagh

Shayne Kavanagh

Senior Manager, Research, Government Finance Officers Association

Graeme Keith

Graeme Keith

Owner & CEO, Stochastic ApS

Benoit Ladouceur

Benoit Ladouceur

Specialist Director, Enterprise Risk, VIA Rail Canada

Hans Læssøe

Hans Læssøe

Founder, AKTUS

Connor McLemore

Connor McLemore

Principal Operations Research Analyst, CANA Advisors

Judith Nissan

Judith Nissan

Keshet Solutions, Risk Management Consultant

Mark Powell

Mark Powell

Consultant, Attwater Consulting

Brian Putt

Brian Putt

Decision Quality Consultant, Putt DQ Consulting

Yuri Raydugin

Yuri Raydugin

Author, Modern Risk Quantification in Complex Projects

Torsten Röhner

Torsten Röhner

Founder, syconomic

Yehuda Sapir

Yehuda Sapir

Risk Management Consultant, Keshet Solutions

Joachim Schulte

Joachim Schulte

Enterprise Risk Manager, skyguide

Alex Sidorenko

Alex Sidorenko

Chief Risk Officer, Institute for Strategic Risk Analysis

Eng-Wee Ethan Yeo

Eng-Wee Ethan Yeo

Assistant Director of Technology and Standards, ProbabilityManagement.org

Workshops

Future trends in Risk Management 2.0

Alex Sidorenko

Stochastic Contagion Models for Collaborative Pandemic Risk Management

Bridget Cash

Sam Savage

The Failure of Risk Management

Douglas Hubbard

Escalation: The Forgotten Risk

John Hollmann

Experience a practical example of applying Decision Quality Framing practices to a case study

Brian Putt

Addressing the Failure of Risk Quantification: Moving from Speculating on Project Complexity to Actually Quantifying It

Yuri Raydugin

Introduction to using QRA for nefarious decision making.

Benoit Ladouceur

How to use Value of Information to improve the decision policy in Oil and Gas?

Trygve Botn

Production Recovery Planning in the Time of Disruptive Pandemic: Using Bayesian Thinking to Augment Scenario Analysis

Robert Brown

Data-driven decisions for smart legal and compliance professionals

Prof. Hernan Huwyler

Uncertainty based capacity optimization

Hans Læssøe

Crowdsourcing distributions

Sam Savage

Shayne Kavanagh

How to Build a Risk Matrix from Scratch (and Why you may Never want to Use one)

Mark Powell

Agricultural Risk Analysis: art and science

Ariadna Berger

Successful Use of Risk Modelling and Simulations in Civil Engineering Mega Projects

Judith Nissan

Yehuda Sapir

Impact of Covid-19 pandemic outbreak on Top Risks

Joachim Schulte

Create an Excel model and evaluate using Decision Analysis and Monte Carlo practices the case study framed in Session 1

Brian Putt

Why consider uncertainty? The value of knowing how little you know

Max Henrion

Decision Support for Security Projects in a VUCA Environment

Sam Savage

Eng-Wee Ethan Yeo

Alex Sidorenko

Decisions Using Monte Carlo: More Samples may not be Better

Mark Powell

Military Readiness Modeling: Changing the Question from “Ready or Not?” to “How Ready for What?”

Connor McLemore

Sam Savage

Complexity: Moving Beyond Talk

John Hollmann

Managing risks while getting shot at – AKA you have the time to conduct a risk assessment

Benoit Ladouceur

Supporting Cybersecurity Investment Decisions through Interactive Simulations

Sam Savage

Shaun Doheney

What's the point of financial modeling when ignoring risks?

Torsten Röhner